While Trump’s disapproval is at 70%.
John McCain shot himself in the foot while in a very tough senate race against Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick. Kirkpatrick has been within a few points of McCain in every poll so far which is a very bad sign for a long serving incumbent. Earlier this week he was behind 43-41. This is a real Dem. pick up possibility.
Speaking of lame-ass incumbents who have been screwing their constituents for a long time. Iowa’s Chuck Grassley, the guy holding up Merrick Garland’s nomination to the Sup. Ct. is also in danger. Under 50% approval in latest PPP poll. He’s ahead, by single digits, of a not nearly well known Dem. It’s a very uncomfortable position to be in when you’ve been around forever and you have Trump leading your party.
But to really gauge how behind the 8 ball the GOP is for this election, super blood red Utah is actually, legitimately in play. Mormons hate Trump.
“For a state where the majority of voters have supported Republican presidential candidates since 1964, the fact that Trump is in a dead heat with Hillary Clinton suggests Utah voters are still very reluctant about a Trump presidency,” said Jason Perry, director of the Hinckley Institute.
Hillary doesn’t have to win Utah, obviously. But if Trump has to battle and expend resources in a state like Utah, then this is not even going to be competitive. And by the way, first term GOP representative Mia Love, the only black GOP women ever elected to Congress, from Utah, is also going to be in a very tough race against Dem. Doug Owens. Love has to run way away from Trump like he has nuclear cooties, which is what Republicans all over the country will do in blue and purple areas. To have to do so in a red area gives the Dems. another pick up opportunity they couldn’t have foreseen pre-Trump.