Why GOP Tax Reform is Hard (Maybe Impossible)

Update again: When you tell GOP pols the poll numbers they simply don’t believe them.  Their constituents all love freedom so apparently nobody asked them.

Update: Trump now wants to add Obamacare changes to the tax bill. That’ll help.  What a maroon!

Matt Yglesias explains it all in Vox.

In short, you can create a larger permanent deficit if you have 60 votes. If you want to do it with 51 votes (budget reconciliation) you can’t add to a larger permanent deficit.

So to push this through with just GOP votes they have to pay for the big tax cuts for the rich they want.  So far every tax raise scenario they’ve floated has engendered major push back – mainly because they’d raise taxes on the middle class.

But there’s a larger fundamental problem in that the majority of the country have a problem with the whole point of this tax cut:  cutting taxes on corporations.

pew Screen_Shot_2017_09_27_at_2.24.48_PM.pngThe only subset of the political population that is close to wanting the cut taxes for corporations is conservative Republicans and they actually break down as 48% in favor of lowering and 49% who want corporate taxes raised or kept the same!  The rub here is that almost all of the GOP caucus in Congress are those conservative Republicans.

They want it.

The public does not.

Even their constituents do not.

Same story with lowering taxes on people who make more than $250,000.  41% of conservative GOPers want to do that. But 64% of even conservative GOPers do not.

The Congress is way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way, way* out of touch with the public.

*I could keep typing “way” but you get the point.

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